Got a Hunch bet a Bunch

I've been under the weather for the better part of a month, so this has been a bizarre Classic series for me.

I was pretty excited about Dullahan's chances in the Preakness, but the owners decided not to run him.

Everybody seems enamored with Bodemeister and for good reason. There doesn't seem to be much speed to go with him and Maryland favors speed. The morning line is 8/5. I don't like 8/5.

I like Dale Romans. He was supposed to take Dullahan here, but instead finds himself bringing Cozzetti, a horse I think is much better than his 30-1 morning line. Bodemeister annihilated Cozzetti by 9 3/4 lengths in the Arkansas Derby. However, Cozzetti is well-rested while the favorite has had 3 races in 5 weeks.

At 30-1, you don't have to risk much and won't be terribly disappointed if the horse runs up the track.

So, there it is. Just a hunch. If Bodemeister folds the exotics should light the tote board. He ain't likely to fold, given the track and his speed, but you just never know in this game. I'm tossing him (again) and going with Dale Romans (again.)

Good luck to all!

Kentucky Derby 2012

Num	Name	NAG	Trainer	Jockey	MLine
1	Daddy Long Legs	115	Aidan O'Brien	Colm O'Donoghue	30
2	Optimizer	85	D. Lukas	Jon Court	50
3	Take Charge Indy	119	Patrick Byrne	Calvin Borel	15
4	Union Rags	117	Michael Matz	Julien Leparoux	9/2
5	Dullahan	122	Dale Romans	Kent Desormeaux	8
6	Bodemeister	109	Bob Baffert	Mike Smith	4
7	Rousing Sermon	102	Jerry Hollendorfer	Jose Lezcano	50
8	Creative Cause	116	Mike Harrington	Joel Rosario	12
9	Trinniberg	100	Bisnath Parboo	Willie Martinez	50
10	Daddy Nose Best	99	Steven Asmussen	Garrett Gomez	15
11	Alpha	100	Kiaran McLaughlin	Rajiv Maragh	15
12	Prospective	112	Mark Casse	Luis Contreras	30
13	Went the Day Well	94	H. Motion	John Velazquez	20
14	Hansen	120	Michael Maker	Ramon Dominguez	10
15	Gemologist	100	Todd Pletcher	Javier Castellano	6
16	El Padrino	115	Todd Pletcher	Rafael Bejarano	20
17	Done Talking	76	Hamilton Smith	Sheldon Russell	50
18	Sabercat	94	Steven Asmussen	Corey Nakatani	30
19	I'll Have Another	116	Doug O'Neill	Mario Gutierrez	12
20	Liaison	85	Bob Baffert	Martin Garcia	50
5 Dullahan 122 14 Hansen 120 3 Take Charge Indy 119 4 Union Rags 117 8 Creative Cause 116 19 I'll Have Another 116 1 Daddy Long Legs 115 16 El Padrino 115