Thursday, June 5, 2014

Belmont Stakes 2014

A work in progress...

Victor Espinoza has been here before. One win away from the elusive Triple Crown.

War Emblem stumbled out of the gate and tired from the mile and a half effort. The horse was one-dimensional Espinoza would say later. War Emblem was good, but this horse is better.

The latest horse to threaten the Triple is California Chrome. Victor has never lost a race on this horse. Ever.

California Chrome and Victor Espinoza have won six huge races in a row, convincingly. Never close. Ever.

The trouble of course, is the horse is 3/5. Now if you can get 3/2 on 3/5, that's OK but this is 3/5, maybe less. Probably less. Probably 1/5.

The next trouble is that it has rained and the track will likely be tiring for any horse near the lead.

Either someone goes wire to wire or someone grinds one out. That's the usual Belmont. Usually closers.

Consider the speed if it can get away, but right now I'm thinking about grinders.

There is one grinder who loves this track and that is Wicked Strong. This horse will just grind and grind and grind and grind and grind and grind and grind.

And then he will grind some more.

He's a grinder. And he's my top contender right now for Belmont 2014. Wicked Strong.

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